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Introduction:
Images matter. Groups who have a positive self-image will thrive while those who do not will wither. Elise Boulding talks about various aspects of visioning and their impact on various groups with which she has been involved.
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This rough transcript provides a text alternative to audio. We apologize for occasional errors and unintelligible sections (which are marked with ???).
Visioning and Future Studies
Elise Boulding
Professor Emeritus of Sociology at Dartmouth College and Former Secretary
General of the International Peace Research Association
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Q: What are future studies?
A: There is a whole array of future studies. I got into it through
Fred Polak from the Netherlands, who won a Council of Europe Award back in the
'50s for his book on the "image of the future."
...
His thesis was that societies that have positive images of
the future are empowered by their own images to act creatively in the present.
Societies that have negative images will just wither away. Of course, there
are many cases in between. This was such a wonderful opening that it made a
difference in how people think about the future.
...
I'm interested
in how people picture the possibilities in their society and in the world. In
the peace movement, after World War II ended, I remember going to a conference
in Sweden and asking the disarmament experts, "If we really had disarmament,
how would the world function?" Not a single person on that panel had
anything that they could say. I realized that the peace movement was working on
peace without knowing what a peaceful world would look like. They didn't know
what they were working for. It would just be a world with no weapons and no war.
But what kind of society would it be? What kind of institutions?
So I began
these imaging workshops: stepping people 30 years into the future, giving them
help with how their imaginations worked, and asking them to imagine a world in
which there were no longer any weapons. Once they have done the imagining and
sharing in groups, they have a picture of what this world could look like. Next,
they construct a history of the time-line backward to the present. Then,
participants have to decide what they will do, starting now, to help this
process along. So everyone sits and meditates for a while, and then writes and speaks aloud
their commitments.
A student of mine did research on the effect of being a
participant in an imaging workshop. It turned out to be her masters thesis. She went to a number of workshops I was doing, passed out a questionnaire before the workshop, and then another at the end, with
the same questions. She went back three months later and administered the same
questionnaire to get the answers. Then I think she did it again about five years
later. Even five years later, the answers were different than they were in the
pre-workshop. So it really made an impression on how people thought about the
future.
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My husband, Kenneth Boulding,
always used
to say, "What exists is possible." Now that is a very profound
statement. What it means is that any peaceful segment or any group that has dealt with and gotten through really difficult conflicts and
done it successfully, like a
family or a community or a country — if it happened, then it is possible. In a way, it is a basic statement of fact. People are always startled when I say it, although some people are getting use to
me saying it now. To remember that what exists is possible, I would say for any
peacemaker, that the best example that you can think of is possible, is important. I would
advise people to spend some time doing some imagining about what kind of world they are working for.
Doing their own personal imaging. Knowing what you are working for affects your choices and what you do now. If
you are reaching a difficult decision point in your own life, then think about
that image of what you are working for and which way to go in relation to that.
This would not necessarily answer it, but it would help.
...
A favorite concept of mine is the
200-year present, a way of thinking about change. The 200-year present began 100
years ago, with the year of birth of the people who reach their hundredth
birthday today. The other boundary of the 200-year present, 100 years from now,
is the hundredth birthday of the babies born today. If you take that span, you
and I have contact with a lot of people from different parts of that
span.
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